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With several great fights scheduled, UFC 256 is all set for Saturday, December 12, live from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. This MMA fight card was initially slated to feature three championship fights: Welterweight champion Kamaru Usman defending against Gilbert Burns, women’s double-champion Amanda Nunes opposite Megan Anderson, and Bantamweight champ Petr Yan facing Aljamain Sterling. Unfortunately, one of the year’s best cards has been trimmed down to just one remaining Championship fight as a result of COVID-19 related concerns.

  • UFC betting picks, predictions, and betting odds for UFC on ESPN+ 42 with a main event of Alistair Overeem and Alexander Volkov on 2/6/21.
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Feb 26, 2021 Betting odds are courtesy of Bovada. Odds listed below reflect the lines at the time of publication of this article and are subject to change. UFC Vegas 20: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs.

Deiveson Figueiredo versus Brandon Moreno is now the main event of the evening. Both MMA fighters are coming off wins at UFC 255 and Figueiredo is the odds-on favorite to defend his Flyweight championship. Two other exciting fights on this card are Tony Ferguson versus Charles Oliveira and Junior dos Santos against Ciryl Gane. Tony Ferguson, once an interim UFC champion, is looking to bounce back after a brutal fifth-round TKO loss at the hands of Justin Gaethje at UFC 249. If you like betting on an underdog, Dos Santos’ UFC 256 odds could provide a nice payout. This fight is important for JDS, and a loss could mean the end of a legacy; the veteran is coming off three-straight losses and desperately needs a win to remain on the UFC roster in 2021. Let’s take a closer look at the key fights at UFC 256 and get ready for some fun MMA betting action!

Deiveson Figueiredo (-300) vs Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno (+240)

On just three weeks of rest, 32-year-old UFC flyweight Champion Deiveson Figueiredo (-300) looks to defend his five-fight win streak and 20-1 record against 26-year-old Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno (+240). Moreno is currently on a three-fight win streak, having also fought on that same UFC 255 card just a few weeks ago. Figueiredo will headline his second consecutive pay-per-view event, live from the betting epicenter of Las Vegas. MMA odds makers have made Figueiredo the heavy favorite, and he is defending his championship for the second time since claiming the vacant flyweight belt versus second-ranked contender Joseph Benavidez. The MMA champ comes in as a moderate 3:1 favorite and is looking to earn his second Performance of the Night bonus in his last three fights. It’s important to note when betting on this fight that this is the fastest turnaround for a championship fight in UFC history at just 21 days. This could play out as an advantage for Brandon Moreno and result in a big payday for anyone betting on the young underdog.

Tony Ferguson (-170) vs. Charles Oliveira (+145)

As we prepare for the excitement of UFC 256, Tony Ferguson is already predicting controversy by claiming that his Brazilian opponent will come in three to four pounds overweight on such short notice. Ferguson is also on record saying “if he shows up that much overweight, we are not competing, there will be no fight”. It’s interesting dialogue from “El Cucuy” considering he’s coming off 12 wins in his last 13 bouts and he’s dominated the lightweight division for the last decade. Facing off against Ferguson is Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira, who’s looking to defend his seven-fight win streak. Oliveira’s most recent win comes against the reputable Kevin Lee via a third-round submission at UFC 170. Interestingly enough, Ferguson also defeated Lee via third-round submission at UFC 216. Both these MMA fighters have plenty of experience in the octagon with Ferguson having fought a total of 17 times in the UFC and Oliveira having already fought 25 professional fights. MMA odds makers have made Ferguson the betting favorite and it’s fair to assume he’ll remain that way leading up to the fight as Oliveira might come in overweight or off the heels of a brutal weight cut.

Ciryl Gane (-440) vs. Junior dos Santos (+340)

French fighter Ciryl “Bon Gamin” Gane will put his undefeated 6-0 record on the line against the ageless wonder, Junior “Ciagno” Dos Santos. The 30-year-old Gane is in store for the toughest fight of his young MMA career, but MMA odds makers and betting fans still consider him the favorite in this matchup. Although most UFC veterans will tell you that Dos Santos is a mere shadow of his younger self, don’t be fooled by this 36-year-old Brazilian’s age. Dos Santos is coming off three straight losses but still has knockout wins against Lewis, Hunt, Rothwell and current Heavyweight Champion Stipe Miocic. It’s impossible to know which Dos Santos will show up, but at +340 odds for a heavyweight who began his career winning 15 of his first 16 fights, it makes for an appealing betting option. What’s important to note is Ciryl Gane’s last couple of fights went the full three rounds for a decision, while Dos Santos hasn’t fought past the first two rounds of any fight in nearly two years. If Gane tires out his older opponent, he might be able to take advantage of an exhausted Dos Santos and wear him down in the last round. The Paris native has a unique fighting style which has resulted in submission victories rather than the usual knockout wins among the big man division. It will be interesting to see if Dos Santos still has something left in the tank at 36-years-old or if Gane, the younger Muay Thai professional, will put an end to JDS’ impressive career.

Rafael “Ataman” Fiziev (-142) vs Renato “Moicano” Carneiro (+116)

MMA odds makers have Renato “Moicano” Carneiro as the underdog in this matchup, as he is coming off his first impressive fight as a lightweight with a first-round submission win over Damir Hadžović in March. Despite losing back-to-back fights prior to that victory, the Brazilian still has a 6-3 record since making his UFC debut over six years ago. Renato is not known for his power as half of his 14 career wins have been via submission, with the other seven victories coming by decision. This makes for a very interesting betting matchup against Fiziev as the 27-year-old Kyrgyzstani has a background in Muay Thai and prefers to keep the fight on his feet. Fiziev is a known kickboxer with explosive striking and five of his eight career victories have come by knockout. Although Fiziev has the more impressive record, keep in mind that Moicano’s three recent losses came against the “Korean Zombie” Chan-Sung Jung, Jose Aldo and Brian Ortega; all reputable fighters. Some things to consider when reviewing the UFC 256 odds; Fiziev is four years younger, has two fewer losses, and a one-inch reach disadvantage but has five KO’s in his career compared to none from Carneiro.

The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining title fight between Kamaru Usman and Gilbert Burns. Here’s a complete preview, including updated UFC odds and our betting pick.

Kamaru Usman vs. Gilbert Burns

UFC welterweight championship fight

Saturday, February 13, 2021 – 10:00 PM EDT at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas

In the main event of the evening, Kamaru Usman defends his UFC welterweight title against Gilbert Burns. UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. A limited number of fans will be in attendance because of the COVID-19 pandemic. With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available, let’s attempt to find some value for our UFC picks on Saturday’s main event.

Kamaru Usman

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Kamaru Usman was born in Auchi Nigeria and his family moved to the United States when he was five years old. He started wrestling at Bowie High School in Arlington, Texas and was a three-time NCAA All-American and the NCAA Division II National Champion in 2010.

“The Nigeran Nightmare” made his professional MMA debut in 2012 and won The Ultimate Fighter 21, submitting Hayder Hassan in the second round on July 12th, 2015. Usman is a physical force that has dominated everyone he’s faced. He won his first nine fights in the UFC before beating Tyron Woodley for the UFC welterweight title via unanimous decision at UFC 235 on March 2nd, 2019.

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Usman’s current 12-fight win streak saw him go from an unknown to one of the most dominant champions in the promotion. Usman has not lost many rounds in his career but his rise wasn’t easy. This is a special fighter that has wins against Sean Strickland, Sergio Moraes, Demian Maia, Rafael dos Anjos, Tyron Woodley and Colby Covington. In his last fight, he beat Jorge Masvidal via unanimous decision to retain his UFC welterweight title at UFC 251 on July 11th.

  • Born: May 11th, 1987
  • Age: 33
  • Country: United States
  • Height: 6’0″
  • Weight: 155 lbs
  • Reach: 76″
  • Stance: Switch
  • Association: Hard Knocks 365
  • Class: Welterweight
  • Record: 17-1

Stats

Octagon Strengths

  • Physical strength
  • Dangerous striker
  • Excellent wrestler and boxer
  • Solid takedown defense

Octagon Weaknesses

Betting
  • Tends to rush things, may eat extra counter shots

Gilbert Burns

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Gilbert Burns is one of the fastest rising welterweights in MMA and now he can dethrone his former sparring partner to win the UFC welterweight title. Burns had no problem calling out Usman after his impressive unanimous decision victory against former champion Tyron Woodley at UFC on ESPN 9 on May 30th. On top of that showing, Burns being the only fighter to ever knock out the legendary Demian Maia meant that it was only a matter of time before he would get a title opportunity.

Born and raised in Brazil, 'Durinho' was encouraged to purse competitive sports by his dad, who received three months of Jiu-Jitsu lessons as payment for fixing a customer's car. Burns has a Jiu-Jitsu black belt under Rafael 'Fofitio' and is regarded as one of the top grappling competitors of his generation. He held that status before switching his career focus to mixed martial arts, a transition that occurred after winning the International Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Federation (IBJJF) World title in 2011.

  • Born: July 20th, 1986
  • Age: 34
  • Country: Brazil
  • Height: 5’10″
  • Weight: 170 lbs
  • Reach: 71″
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Association: Hard Knocks 365
  • Class: Welterweight
  • Record: 19-3

Stats

Octagon Strengths

  • Kickboxing ability
  • His five-round war with Paul Felder prepared him for Poirier
  • Reach advantage

Octagon Weaknesses

Ufc Betting Odds Bovada Sportsbook

  • Trouble dealing with boxers

Prediction

The third time is the charm. This fight was supposed to take place at UFC 251 and then UFC 256 it fell apart both times. Burns posses a considerable threat to Usman. Me and Kamaru had over 200 rounds sparring, at least,” Burns told MMA Junkie. “We started training together in 2012 in Blackzillians. Then Blackzillians broke down, they disappeared, so we moved with Henri Hooft. We went to a place called Combat Club. Then we were there for almost a year, and then we opened up the Hard Knocks. We were at Hard Knocks for two years. Then we moved to Sanford MMA and then we been in Sanford for a total of two years. So I’ve trained with Kamaru for seven years and we both love to train.

“He was a good training partner for me and I was good partner for him. Just sparring sessions, over 200. And just the grappling sessions, plus the wrestling sessions, for sure I have so many hours on the mat with Kamaru. We know each other very well.”

Look for Burns to come out eager to end the fight early with an early submission or technical knockout, which is easier said than done against someone like Usman. Usman's offensive grappling has overcome many welterweight challengers and that game plan shouldn't change. There are too many variables to consider. It will be an even fight and Burns knows how to beat Usman. The question is, can he successfully put that knowledge into practice? I can see this fight going the distance, so I will take a chance on the Over.

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My Pick:Over 4.5 rounds (-140) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Ufc Betting Odds Bovada Betting

*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.

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